P. Expectation

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Module P. Expectations of HRS 2018

item label type description
P002 Question Next we would like to ask your opinion about how likely you think various events might be. [INSTR: SELECT "NEXT" TO CONTINUE.]
P166 Question On the same scale from 0 to 100 what do you think is the percent chance that by next year at this time your home will be worth [more/less (per P196)] than it is today? PERCENT__________
P168 Question By this time next year, what is the percent chance that the value of your home will have [gained/fallen] (per 170) in value by more than [10/20/30/40] percent compared to what it is worth today? PERCENT__________
P005 Question Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________
P006 Question And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________
P059 Question And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $500,000 or more? PERCENT__________
P007 Question And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave any inheritance? PERCENT__________
P014 Question On the same scale from 0 to 100 (where 0 means absolutely no chance and 100 means absolutely certain), what are the chances that you will lose your job during the next year? PERCENT__________
P015 Question What do you think are the chances that you could find an equally good job in the same line of work within the next few months? PERCENT__________
P016 Question (On this same 0 to 100 scale), what are the chances that you will be working for pay at some time in the future? PERCENT__________
P017 Question What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________
P123 Question Do you think that it is about equally likely that you will be working full-time as it is that you will not be working full-time, or are you just unsure about the chances?
P018 Question And what about the chances that you will be working full-time after you reach age 65? PERCENT__________
P198 Question What are the chances that you will be doing any work for pay after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________
P199 Question What are the chances that you will be doing any work for pay after you reach age 65? PERCENT__________
P181 Question What are the chances that you will be doing any work for pay after you reach age 70? PERCENT__________
P182 Question What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 70? PERCENT__________
P020 Question On this 0 to 100 scale, what are the chances that you will find a job like the one you're looking for within the next few months? PERCENT__________
P028 Question What is the percent chance that you will live to be 75 or more? PERCENT__________
P102 Question Do you think that it is about equally likely that you will die before 75 as it is that you will live to 75 or beyond, or are you just unsure about the chances?
P029 Question What is the percent chance that you will live to be [85 (IF AGE IS LESS THAN 65)/ 80 (IF AGE IS 65-69)/ 85 (IF AGE IS 70-74)/ 90 (IF AGE IS 75-79)/ 95 (IF AGE IS 80-84)/ 100 (IF AGE IS 85-89)] or more? PERCENT__________
P157 Question Do you think that it is about equally likely that you will die before [85 (IF AGE IS LESS THAN 65)/ 80 (IF AGE IS 65-69)/ 85 (IF AGE IS 70-74)/ 90 (IF AGE IS 75-79)/ 95 (IF AGE IS 80-84)/ 100 (IF AGE IS 85-89)] as it is that you will live to [85 (IF AGE IS LESS THAN 65)/ 80 (IF AGE IS 65-69)/ 85 (IF AGE IS 70-74)/ 90 (IF AGE IS 75-79)/ 95 (IF AGE IS 80-84)/ 100 (IF AGE IS 85-89)] or beyond, or are you just unsure about the chances?
P107 Question Assuming that you are still living at [85 (IF AGE IS LESS THAN 75)/ 90 (IF AGE IS 75-79)/ 95 (IF AGE IS 80-84)/ 100 (IF AGE IS 85-89)], what are the chances that you will be free of serious problems in thinking, reasoning or remembering things that would interfere with your ability to manage your own affairs? PERCENT__________
P175 Question On a scale from 0 to 100 (where 0 means absolutely no chance and 100 means absolutely certain), what are the chances that you will spend more than $1,500 during the coming year? PERCENT__________
P176 Question On this same, 0 to 100 scale where 0 means absolutely no chance and 100 means absolutely certain, what are the chances that you will spend more than $500 during the coming year? PERCENT__________
P177 Question (On this same, 0 to 100 scale where 0 means absolutely no chance and 100 means absolutely certain,) what are the chances that you will spend more than $3,000 during the coming year? PERCENT__________
P178 Question (On this same, 0 to 100 scale where 0 means absolutely no chance and 100 means absolutely certain,) what are the chances that you will spend more than $8,000 during the coming year? PERCENT__________
P032 Question What is the percent chance that you will move to a nursing home in the next five years? PERCENT__________
P111 Question On a scale from 0 to 100, (where 0 means no chance and 100 means absolutely certain,) what do you think is the percent chance that the benefits you yourself are receiving from Social Security will be cut some time over the next 10 years? PERCENT__________
P112 Question On a scale from 0 to 100, what do you think is the percent chance that over the next 10 years there will be changes to Social Security that will reduce your future benefits compared to what you would get under the current system? PERCENT__________
P183 Question What is the percent chance that Congress will change the Medicare program sometime in the next 10 years, so that it becomes less generous than now? PERCENT__________
P047 Question By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be worth more than they are today? PERCENT__________
P113 Question Do you think that it is about equally likely that these mutual fund shares will increase in worth as it is that they will decrease in worth by this time next year, or are you just unsure about the chances?
P150 Question By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue-chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have gained in value by more than 20 percent compared to what they are worth today? PERCENT__________
P180 Question By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue-chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have fallen in value by more than 20 percent compared to what they are worth today? PERCENT__________
P097 Question How closely do you follow the stock market: very closely, somewhat, or not at all?
P041 Question In planning your (family's) saving and spending, which of the following time periods is most important to you [and your [husband/wife/partner]], the next few months, the next year, the next few years, the next 5-10 years, or longer than 10 years?
P185 Question 10 years from now, do you think your own standard of living will be higher, lower or the same as now?
P056 Question Assis tPP ASSIST [INSTR: HOW OFTEN DID R RECEIVE ASSISTANCE WITH ANSWERS IN SECTION P -- EXPECTATIONS?]
up level arrow Up to survey overview

Start of P. Expectation
 
If A009 = SELF »
 
   
 
P002
Next we would like to ask your opinion about how likely you think various events might be. [INSTR: SELECT "NEXT" TO CONTINUE.]
NEXT WE WOULD LIKE TO ASK YOUR OPINION ABOUT HOW LIKELY YOU THINK VARIOUS EVENTS MIGHT BE. [INSTR: SELECT "NEXT" TO CONTINUE.]

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P005
Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________
INCLUDING PROPERTY AND OTHER VALUABLES THAT YOU MIGHT OWN, WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU (AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]) WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $10,000 OR MORE? PERCENT_________
   
 
If Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ != 998 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ != 999 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ != 0 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ !was assigned an EMPTY value »
 
     
   
P006
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________
AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $100,000 OR MORE? PERCENT__________
     
   
If And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ > 0 and And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ was answered »
 
       
     
P059
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $500,000 or more? PERCENT__________
AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $500,000 OR MORE? PERCENT__________
       
 
If And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ was assigned an EMPTY value »
 
     
   
P007
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave any inheritance? PERCENT__________
AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE ANY INHERITANCE? PERCENT__________
     
 
If P009 = 1 »
 
     
   
If OJ020 != YES »
 
       
     
P016
(On this same 0 to 100 scale), what are the chances that you will be working for pay at some time in the future? PERCENT__________
(ON THIS SAME 0 TO 100 SCALE), WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FOR PAY AT SOME TIME IN THE FUTURE? PERCENT__________
       
   
If A019 < 62 »
 
       
     
P017
What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________
WHAT DO YOU THINK THE CHANCES ARE THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FULL-TIME AFTER YOU REACH AGE 62? PERCENT__________
       
     
If What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ != 0 or What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ was assigned an EMPTY value or What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ was not answered »
 
         
       
P018
And what about the chances that you will be working full-time after you reach age 65? PERCENT__________
AND WHAT ABOUT THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FULL-TIME AFTER YOU REACH AGE 65? PERCENT__________
         
   
If PJ505 = YES or PJ517 = YES »
 
       
     
P020
On this 0 to 100 scale, what are the chances that you will find a job like the one you're looking for within the next few months? PERCENT__________
ON THIS 0 TO 100 SCALE, WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL FIND A JOB LIKE THE ONE YOU'RE LOOKING FOR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS? PERCENT__________
       
   
If A019 < 65 »
 
       
     
P028
What is the percent chance that you will live to be 75 or more? PERCENT__________
WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT YOU WILL LIVE TO BE 75 OR MORE? PERCENT__________
       
     
If What is the percent chance that you will live to be 75 or more? PERCENT__________ = 50 »
 
         
       
P102
Do you think that it is about equally likely that you will die before 75 as it is that you will live to 75 or beyond, or are you just unsure about the chances?
DO YOU THINK THAT IT IS ABOUT EQUALLY LIKELY THAT YOU WILL DIE BEFORE 75 AS IT IS THAT YOU WILL LIVE TO 75 OR BEYOND, OR ARE YOU JUST UNSURE ABOUT THE CHANCES?

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If A019 > 64 or MZ076 != REINTERVIEW and A028 != YES »
 
       
     
P032
What is the percent chance that you will move to a nursing home in the next five years? PERCENT__________
WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT YOU WILL MOVE TO A NURSING HOME IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS? PERCENT__________
       
   
P034
     
   
P047
By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be worth more than they are today? PERCENT__________
BY NEXT YEAR AT THIS TIME, WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT MUTUAL FUND SHARES INVESTED IN BLUE CHIP STOCKS LIKE THOSE IN THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE WILL BE WORTH MORE THAN THEY ARE TODAY? PERCENT__________
     
   
If By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be worth more than they are today? PERCENT__________ = 50 »
 
       
     
P113
Do you think that it is about equally likely that these mutual fund shares will increase in worth as it is that they will decrease in worth by this time next year, or are you just unsure about the chances?
DO YOU THINK THAT IT IS ABOUT EQUALLY LIKELY THAT THESE MUTUAL FUND SHARES WILL INCREASE IN WORTH AS IT IS THAT THEY WILL DECREASE IN WORTH BY THIS TIME NEXT YEAR, OR ARE YOU JUST UNSURE ABOUT THE CHANCES?

expand
       
   
If MZ076 != REINTERVIEW »
 
       
     
P097
How closely do you follow the stock market: very closely, somewhat, or not at all?
HOW CLOSELY DO YOU FOLLOW THE STOCK MARKET: VERY CLOSELY, SOMEWHAT, OR NOT AT ALL?

expand
       
 
P056
Assis tPP ASSIST [INSTR: HOW OFTEN DID R RECEIVE ASSISTANCE WITH ANSWERS IN SECTION P -- EXPECTATIONS?]
ASSIS TPP ASSIST [INSTR: HOW OFTEN DID R RECEIVE ASSISTANCE WITH ANSWERS IN SECTION P -- EXPECTATIONS?]

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End of P. Expectation
Start of P. Expectation

If A009 = SELF »

|  ========================================================================
| 
P002
Next we would like to ask your opinion about how likely you think various events might be. [INSTR: SELECT "NEXT" TO CONTINUE.]

NEXT WE WOULD LIKE TO ASK YOUR OPINION ABOUT HOW LIKELY YOU THINK VARIOUS EVENTS MIGHT BE. [INSTR: SELECT "NEXT" TO CONTINUE.]

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 CONTINUE


|  ========================================================================
| 
P005
Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________

INCLUDING PROPERTY AND OTHER VALUABLES THAT YOU MIGHT OWN, WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU (AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]) WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $10,000 OR MORE? PERCENT_________


|  If Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ (P005) != 998 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ (P005) != 999 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ (P005) != 0 and Including property and other valuables that you might own, what are the chances that you (and your [husband/wife/partner]) will leave an inheritance totaling $10,000 or more? PERCENT_________ (P005) !was assigned an EMPTY value »

| |  ========================================================================
| | 
P006
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________

AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $100,000 OR MORE? PERCENT__________


| |  If And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ (P006) > 0 and And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ (P006) was answered »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P059
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $500,000 or more? PERCENT__________

AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE AN INHERITANCE TOTALING $500,000 OR MORE? PERCENT__________


|  If And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave an inheritance totaling $100,000 or more? PERCENT__________ (P006) was assigned an EMPTY value »

| |  ========================================================================
| | 
P007
And what are the chances that you [and your [husband/wife/partner]] will leave any inheritance? PERCENT__________

AND WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU [AND YOUR [HUSBAND/WIFE/PARTNER]] WILL LEAVE ANY INHERITANCE? PERCENT__________


|  If P009 = 1 »

| |  If OJ020 != YES »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P016
(On this same 0 to 100 scale), what are the chances that you will be working for pay at some time in the future? PERCENT__________

(ON THIS SAME 0 TO 100 SCALE), WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FOR PAY AT SOME TIME IN THE FUTURE? PERCENT__________


| |  If A019 < 62 »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P017
What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________

WHAT DO YOU THINK THE CHANCES ARE THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FULL-TIME AFTER YOU REACH AGE 62? PERCENT__________


| | |  If What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ (P017) != 0 or What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ (P017) was assigned an EMPTY value or What do you think the chances are that you will be working full-time after you reach age 62? PERCENT__________ (P017) was not answered »

| | | |  ========================================================================
| | | | 
P018
And what about the chances that you will be working full-time after you reach age 65? PERCENT__________

AND WHAT ABOUT THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL BE WORKING FULL-TIME AFTER YOU REACH AGE 65? PERCENT__________


| |  If PJ505 = YES or PJ517 = YES »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P020
On this 0 to 100 scale, what are the chances that you will find a job like the one you're looking for within the next few months? PERCENT__________

ON THIS 0 TO 100 SCALE, WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THAT YOU WILL FIND A JOB LIKE THE ONE YOU'RE LOOKING FOR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS? PERCENT__________


| |  If A019 < 65 »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P028
What is the percent chance that you will live to be 75 or more? PERCENT__________

WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT YOU WILL LIVE TO BE 75 OR MORE? PERCENT__________


| | |  If What is the percent chance that you will live to be 75 or more? PERCENT__________ (P028) = 50 »

| | | |  ========================================================================
| | | | 
P102
Do you think that it is about equally likely that you will die before 75 as it is that you will live to 75 or beyond, or are you just unsure about the chances?

DO YOU THINK THAT IT IS ABOUT EQUALLY LIKELY THAT YOU WILL DIE BEFORE 75 AS IT IS THAT YOU WILL LIVE TO 75 OR BEYOND, OR ARE YOU JUST UNSURE ABOUT THE CHANCES?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 EQUALLY LIKELY
2 UNSURE


| |  If A019 > 64 or MZ076 != REINTERVIEW and A028 != YES »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P032
What is the percent chance that you will move to a nursing home in the next five years? PERCENT__________

WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT YOU WILL MOVE TO A NURSING HOME IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS? PERCENT__________


| |  ========================================================================
| | 
P034
P034

| |  ========================================================================
| | 
P047
By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be worth more than they are today? PERCENT__________

BY NEXT YEAR AT THIS TIME, WHAT IS THE PERCENT CHANCE THAT MUTUAL FUND SHARES INVESTED IN BLUE CHIP STOCKS LIKE THOSE IN THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE WILL BE WORTH MORE THAN THEY ARE TODAY? PERCENT__________


| |  If By next year at this time, what is the percent chance that mutual fund shares invested in blue chip stocks like those in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be worth more than they are today? PERCENT__________ (P047) = 50 »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P113
Do you think that it is about equally likely that these mutual fund shares will increase in worth as it is that they will decrease in worth by this time next year, or are you just unsure about the chances?

DO YOU THINK THAT IT IS ABOUT EQUALLY LIKELY THAT THESE MUTUAL FUND SHARES WILL INCREASE IN WORTH AS IT IS THAT THEY WILL DECREASE IN WORTH BY THIS TIME NEXT YEAR, OR ARE YOU JUST UNSURE ABOUT THE CHANCES?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 EQUALLY LIKELY
2 UNSURE


| |  If MZ076 != REINTERVIEW »

| | |  ========================================================================
| | | 
P097
How closely do you follow the stock market: very closely, somewhat, or not at all?

HOW CLOSELY DO YOU FOLLOW THE STOCK MARKET: VERY CLOSELY, SOMEWHAT, OR NOT AT ALL?

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 VERY CLOSELY
2 SOMEWHAT CLOSELY
3 NOT AT ALL


|  ========================================================================
| 
P056
Assis tPP ASSIST [INSTR: HOW OFTEN DID R RECEIVE ASSISTANCE WITH ANSWERS IN SECTION P -- EXPECTATIONS?]

ASSIS TPP ASSIST [INSTR: HOW OFTEN DID R RECEIVE ASSISTANCE WITH ANSWERS IN SECTION P -- EXPECTATIONS?]

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1 NEVER
2 A FEW TIMES
3 MOST OR ALL OF THE TIME


End of P. Expectation